You know how, when you have two pieces and a pawn tied up attacking Q5, you can simplify the position by making an exchange? Alternatively, you can keep the pressure on and extend the attack to some of the defending pieces. That’s called “playing for complication.” It favors the stronger player, the one with greater mental stamina and determination. Let’s review the game so far.
“We are certain that the revolutions in Georgia and Ukraine are shaping the new wave of liberty in Europe”
- In 2004, Ukraine’s orange revolution aligns that nation with the West, but it remains politically divided. For ten years, the West fails to consolidate this position, mainly because the EU is stupid and shortsighted.
- In 2008, during the Beijing Olympics, Russia invades Georgia on a pretext, retaining South Ossetia and Abkhazia. This is some prime Black Sea coastline.
- In 2013, Russia protests the installation of an antimissile defense system in Poland, and America backs down. Only during the Cold War were defensive systems considered “destabilizing,” a parallel the State Department chooses not to notice.
- Also in 2013, revolution threatens the Assad regime in Syria. America makes vague threats about military intervention, and then allows President Putin to handle the removal of chemical weapons from that nation. This procedure keeps Assad alive and in power.
Having rescued Bashar al-Assad from an ugly death, like fellow dictators Saddam Hussein and Muammar Qaddafi, Russia needs no treaty to guarantee its ongoing control of Syria. Likewise, having seized Crimea by force, Putin can easily keep Ukraine unsettled enough to prevent its ever recovering, rearming, or joining NATO. He can afford to let these positions simmer – the “complication” described above.
Russia has said it will not allow use of force to be considered, even in the event that Syria fails to properly comply with the conditions.
Do not think, as John Kerry does, that this is a crude game played only with tanks. The Kremlin knows how to fight with trade and diplomacy, too. By extending his front southwards into Syria, Putin gains yet more control over Europe’s gas supply, and he will soon ink a Yuan denominated oil contract with China. He also holds the spoiler vote on sanctions for Iran, which nation was the ostensible reason for missile defense in Poland.
This game is complicated and dangerous, and millions of lives hang in the balance. Our State Department has not had the brainpower to play at this level since the glory days of Brzezinski and Kissinger. They are doing “pivots,” “resets,” and handing out plum posts to campaign donors. John Kerry is an embarrassment. Victoria Nuland is an embarrassment. The Kremlin insults our people with impunity. It’s time to get serious.
See also: Transcript of Leaked Nuland Phone Call